Farashin karafa na kasar Sin ya yi karfi sosai a watan Disamba na shekarar 2023. Sun yi kasa a takaice bayan da bukatar ta yi kasa da yadda ake tsammani, sannan kuma ta sake karfafawa ta hanyar tallafin tsadar kayan masarufi da ajiyar hunturu.
Bayan shiga Janairu 2024, wadanne abubuwa ne zasu shafi farashin karfe?
Yayin da yanayin ke ƙara yin sanyi, ginin waje ya yi tasiri sosai.A wannan lokacin, mun shiga lokacin da aka saba amfani da shi don buƙatun ƙarfe na gini.Bayanai masu dacewa sun nuna cewa tun daga ranar 28 ga Disamba, 2023 (Disamba 22-28, iri ɗaya a ƙasa), buƙatun da ake buƙatakarafa karfeya kasance tan miliyan 2.2001, raguwar tan 179,800 a mako-mako da raguwar shekara-shekara na tan 266,600.Bukatar sake fasalin ya ci gaba da raguwa tun daga Nuwamba 2023, kuma a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara ya yi ƙasa da daidai lokacin a cikin 2022 na dogon lokaci.
Lokacin ajiya na hunturu yana daga Disamba zuwa bikin bazara a kowace shekara, kuma amsawar ajiyar hunturu a wannan matakin shine matsakaici.
Na farko, SinawaSabuwar Shekara ta ƙare wannan shekara.Idan muka ƙidaya daga tsakiyar Disamba 2023 zuwa tsakiyar zuwa ƙarshen Fabrairu 2024, za a yi watanni uku, kuma kasuwa za ta fuskanci rashin tabbas.
Na biyu, farashin karafa zai ci gaba da hauhawa a kashi na hudu na shekarar 2023. A halin yanzu,rebarkumazafi birgima karfe coilsana adanawa don hunturu akan farashin fiye da 4,000 rmb/ton.Dillalan karafa na fuskantar matsin lamba na kudi.
Na uku, a kan yanayin samar da ƙarfe mai yawa, dawo da buƙatun bayan bikin bazara yana jinkirin, kuma ba shi da mahimmanci don aiwatar da babban ajiyar hunturu.
Bisa kididdigar da ba a kammala ba, an ce, 14 masu sayar da karafa da ’yan kasuwa na sakandire a lardin Hebei, sun ce 4 sun dauki matakin adanawa a lokacin sanyi, sauran 10 kuma ba su da amfani wajen ajiyar hunturu.Wannan ya nuna cewa lokacin da farashin karfe ya yi yawa kuma buƙatun nan gaba ba su da tabbas, 'yan kasuwa suna taka tsantsan a yanayin ajiyar hunturu.Janairu lokaci ne mai mahimmanci don ajiyar hunturu.Halin ajiya na hunturu zai kasance daya daga cikin manyan abubuwan da ke cikin kasuwancin kasuwa.Ana ba da shawarar mayar da hankali kan shi.
Fitowar ɗanyen ƙarfe na ɗan gajeren lokaci yana da ƙarfi tare da raguwa
Bisa kididdigar da hukumar kididdiga ta kasar Sin ta fitar, an ce, yawan danyen karafa da kasar Sin ta samu a watan Nuwamban shekarar 2023 ya kai tan miliyan 76.099, wanda ya karu da kashi 0.4 bisa dari a duk shekara.Yawan danyen karafa da kasar Sin ta fitar daga watan Janairu zuwa Nuwamba na shekarar 2023 ya kai tan miliyan 952.14, wanda ya karu da kashi 1.5 cikin dari a duk shekara.Yin la'akari da yanayin samar da kayayyaki na yanzu, marubucin ya yi imanin cewa fitar da ɗanyen ƙarfe a cikin 2023 mai yiwuwa ya ɗan wuce hakan a cikin 2022.
Musamman ga kowane iri-iri, kamar na mako na Disamba 28, 2023 (Disamba 22-28, iri ɗaya a ƙasa),rebarabin da aka samar ya kai tan miliyan 2.5184, raguwar tan 96,600 a mako-mako da raguwar tan 197,900 a duk shekara;hfarantin karfe na nada birgimaAbubuwan da aka fitar ya kai tan miliyan 3.1698, karuwar tan miliyan 0.09 a mako-mako da karuwar tan 79,500 a shekara.Rebarsamarwa zai kasance ƙasa da lokaci guda a cikin 2022 don yawancin 2023, yayin dazafi birgima karfe nadasamarwa zai zama mafi girma.
Yayin da yanayi ke kara yin sanyi, a baya-bayan nan da dama daga cikin garuruwan arewacin kasar sun ba da gargadin gurbatar yanayi, kuma wasu masana'antun karafa sun dakatar da samar da su don kula da su.Bisa la’akari da tasirin yanayi na yanayi daban-daban kan gine-gine da masana’antu, marubucin ya yi imanin cewa noman rebar na iya ƙara yin raguwa a nan gaba, yayin da samar da naɗaɗɗen ƙarfe mai zafi zai kasance a kwance ko kuma ya ƙaru kaɗan.
Rebar yana shiga tsarin tara kaya
Hot birgima karfe coils suna ci gaba da lalata yanayin
Bayanan da suka dace sun nuna cewa ya zuwa mako na 28 ga Disamba, 2023, jimillar kididdigar ta ya kai tan miliyan 5.9116, karuwar tan 318,300 a mako-mako da karuwar tan 221,600 a shekara.Wannan shi ne mako na biyar a jere da kayayyakin rebar suka karu, wanda ke nuni da cewa rebar ya shiga zagayen tara kayan ajiya.Koyaya, daga hangen nesa na cikakken shekara, akwai ƙaramin matsin lamba akan ƙima na rebar, kuma ƙimar ƙimar gabaɗaya tayi ƙasa, wanda ke tallafawa farashin ƙarfe.Bugu da kari, matakin da ya kai kololuwa a cikin shekaru biyun da suka gabata ya koma matakin da ake dauka kafin barkewar cutar, kuma ba a samu adadin kididdigar da ya wuce kima ba yayin barkewar, wanda ya goyi bayan farashin.
A daidai wannan lokacin, jimillar kididdigar da aka yi na nadin karfe mai zafi ya kai tan miliyan 3.0498, raguwar tan 92,800 a mako-mako da karuwar tan 202,500 a shekara.Tun da masana'antun masana'antu ba su da tasiri sosai ta yanayi, ƙarfe mai zafi a cikin coils har yanzu yana cikin sake zagayowar lalata.Duk da haka, ya kamata a lura cewa kayan aikin nada mai zafi za su yi aiki sosai a cikin 2023, kuma ƙididdiga a ƙarshen shekara zai kasance mafi girma a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata.Bisa ka'idojin tarihi, na'urori masu zafi masu zafi za su shiga cikin tsarin tattara kaya kafin bikin bazara, wanda zai sanya matsin lamba kan farashin kayayyakin karafa.
A dunkule, marubucin ya yi imanin cewa, sabanin da ake samu a halin yanzu tsakanin samar da karafa da bukatu bai yi fice ba, kasuwar macro ta shiga wani yanayi na siyasa, kuma duka kayayyaki da bukatu suna da rauni sosai.Ainihin buƙatar da ke da tasiri mai girma akan farashin ba za a yi la'akari da hankali ba har sai bayan bikin bazara.Akwai maki biyu don mayar da hankali kan a cikin gajeren lokaci: na farko, halin da ake ciki na ajiyar hunturu.Halin 'yan kasuwa na karafa game da ajiyar hunturu ba wai kawai yana nuna amincewa da farashin karfe na yanzu ba, har ma yana nuna tsammanin su ga kasuwar karfe bayan bazara;na biyu, tsammanin kasuwa don manufofin bazara , wannan bangare yana da wuyar tsinkaya, kuma ya fi mayar da martani na motsin zuciyarmu a kasuwa.Sabili da haka, farashin karfe na iya ci gaba da jujjuyawa kuma yana gudana da ƙarfi, ba tare da alkiblar yanayi ba.
Lokacin aikawa: Janairu-04-2024